SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
41.73% ( -0.49) | 23.93% ( -0) | 34.34% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.04% ( 0.15) | 40.96% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.64% ( 0.15) | 63.35% ( -0.15) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( -0.15) | 19.88% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48% ( -0.25) | 52% ( 0.25) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( 0.35) | 23.56% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.38% ( 0.5) | 57.61% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.09% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.34% |
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