SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 56.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Hoffenheim |
56.98% ( 1.24) | 19.53% ( -0.13) | 23.48% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 69.46% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.12% ( -0.62) | 26.88% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.79) | 47.33% ( 0.79) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.32% ( 0.1) | 9.68% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.72% ( 0.24) | 32.28% ( -0.24) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -1.12) | 23.1% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.06% ( -1.66) | 56.94% ( 1.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.29)1-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.11% Total : 56.98% | 1-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.53% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.09)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 2% Total : 23.48% |
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