Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Elversberg |
53.54% ( -1.2) | 20.66% ( 0.09) | 25.8% ( 1.1) |
Both teams to score 67.88% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.01% ( 0.68) | 29.98% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.83% ( 0.82) | 51.17% ( -0.82) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.43% ( -0.1) | 11.56% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.49% ( -0.22) | 36.51% ( 0.22) |
Elversberg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.76% ( 1.13) | 23.24% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.85% ( 1.62) | 57.15% ( -1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Elversberg |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.94% Total : 25.8% |
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