SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.24%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
29.14% ( 0.57) | 19.88% ( -0.31) | 50.98% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 74.08% ( 1.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.72% ( 1.98) | 23.27% ( -1.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.37% ( 2.62) | 42.63% ( -2.63) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( 1.35) | 17.71% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.63% ( 2.28) | 48.36% ( -2.28) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.03% ( 0.61) | 9.97% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.04% ( 1.4) | 32.95% ( -1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.1)4-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.61% Total : 29.14% | 1-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.23)0-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.88% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.39)0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.46)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.18)1-5 @ 1.66% ( 0.07)2-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.12)0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 4.2% Total : 50.98% |
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