SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for Kings Langley had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Kings Langley win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kings Langley | Draw | Wealdstone |
26.45% ( 2.43) | 20.62% ( 0.39) | 52.93% ( -2.82) |
| Both teams to score 68.73% ( 1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.84% ( 0.57) | 29.15% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.83% ( 0.69) | 50.16% ( -0.7) |
| Kings Langley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 1.96) | 22.37% ( -1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.13% ( 2.85) | 55.86% ( -2.86) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.54% ( -0.57) | 11.46% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.72% ( -1.25) | 36.28% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kings Langley | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.19)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.28% Total : 26.45% | 1-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 6.51% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.5)0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.47)1-4 @ 3.52% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.32)1-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.15)3-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)2-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.93% |
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