Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
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