SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.51%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | MK Dons |
22.78% ( 0.02) | 22.71% ( 0.01) | 54.51% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% ( -0.05) | 43.06% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% ( -0.05) | 65.46% ( 0.05) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( -0.01) | 32.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.72% ( -0.01) | 69.28% ( 0.01) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.28% ( -0.03) | 15.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.19% ( -0.05) | 44.81% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 5.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 22.78% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 54.51% |
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