SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Chesterfield |
28.77% ( 0.04) | 22.1% ( -0.01) | 49.13% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 65.13% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.33% ( 0.08) | 34.67% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.38% ( 0.1) | 56.62% ( -0.1) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( 0.07) | 23.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.06% ( 0.1) | 57.94% ( -0.11) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% ( 0.02) | 14.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.42% ( 0.03) | 42.58% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.77% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.86% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.13% |
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