Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
-0.24) 
0.02) 
