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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Jul 20, 2024 at 11am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
1 - 2
Kyoto Sanga

Germain (40')
Matsubara (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Suzuki (79' og.), Elias (82')
Kaneko (86'), Elias (90+1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 5-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Urawa
Sunday, July 14 at 10.30am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawKyoto Sanga
44.77% (0.642 0.64) 26.12% (0.058 0.06) 29.11% (-0.697 -0.7)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.564 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43% (-0.552 -0.55)52.56% (0.554 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78% (-0.474 -0.47)74.22% (0.477 0.48)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (0.070999999999998 0.07)23.39% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.1 0.1)57.38% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33% (-0.797 -0.8)32.67% (0.8 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (-0.905 -0.9)69.22% (0.908 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 44.76%
    Kyoto Sanga 29.11%
    Draw 26.12%
Jubilo IwataDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 11.1% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 44.76%
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.55%
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 5-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 3-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-0 Tokyo Verdy
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 22 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, June 16 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Urawa
Sunday, July 14 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-2 Reysol
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 3-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Consadole
Saturday, June 15 at 11am in J1 League


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