J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)
We said: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Heading into a true six-pointer in the J1 League fight for survival, even at this relatively early stage, we anticipate a cagey encounter on Sunday and see a share of the points as the most likely outcome with both teams desperate to avoid a harmful defeat.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
43.42% ( -0.06) | 26.73% ( -0.04) | 29.85% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.12% ( 0.18) |
| 45.36% ( 0.21) | 54.63% ( -0.2) |
| 24.03% ( 0.17) | 75.97% ( -0.17) |
| 75.03% ( 0.07) | 24.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.39% ( 0.09) | 59.61% ( -0.08) |
| 66.79% ( 0.19) | 33.21% ( -0.18) |
