Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for La Union Atletico had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest La Union Atletico win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%).
0.13) 
-0.15) 
