Devoid of any confidence and all but condemned to the drop having fallen short of the required standard for survival for the entirety of the campaign thus far, we cannot envisage Carlisle prevailing at Sixfields at the weekend and instead anticipate a home victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Northampton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.
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