SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
50.21% ( -0.12) | 23.57% ( 0.04) | 26.21% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.42% ( -0.1) | 43.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.03% ( -0.1) | 65.97% ( 0.1) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( -0.08) | 17.45% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.08% ( -0.14) | 47.91% ( 0.14) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( 0.01) | 30.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.68% ( 0.01) | 66.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.21% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 26.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
