Northampton Town will be keen to bounce back from last week's disappointment and maintain a lead over Saturday's visitors, but they meet an Exeter City side with momentum firmly behind them on their climb towards the top half, and we back the Grecians to continue their fine run with another three-point haul at Sixfields.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Exeter City in this match.
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