Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 57.31%. A win for Lisburn Distillery had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.82%). The likeliest Lisburn Distillery win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Lisburn Distillery | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
21.69% ( 0.03) | 21% ( -0.01) | 57.31% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.22% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.59% ( 0.09) | 36.4% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.46% ( 0.1) | 58.54% ( -0.11) |
Lisburn Distillery Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.04% ( 0.08) | 29.96% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.93% ( 0.1) | 66.07% ( -0.1) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.4% ( 0.02) | 12.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.3% ( 0.05) | 38.7% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Lisburn Distillery | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
2-1 @ 5.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 21.69% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.49% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.1% Total : 57.31% |
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