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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Newry City AFC
1 - 3
Carrick

O'Connor (2')
Gordon (37'), O'Connor (52'), Forde (82')
McCaffrey (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Allen (30'), Cushley (38' pen.), Purkis (45+6')
Cherry (39'), Gordon (58'), Purkis (79')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Dungannon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Ballymena
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 2-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
22.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 22.77% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 54.48% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 56.47% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.66% (-0.108 -0.11)43.34% (0.10700000000001 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26% (-0.106 -0.11)65.74% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)32.91% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)69.49% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)15.83% (0.039 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.99% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)45.01% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 22.75%
    Carrick Rangers 54.48%
    Draw 22.76%
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 22.75%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.44% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 54.48%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Dungannon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 3-2 Newry City AFC
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Crusaders
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 6-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Coleraine
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Ballymena
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 3-2 Carrick
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-3 Linfield
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Carrick
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 3-3 Carrick
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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