SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
40.86% ( -0.18) | 24.1% ( -0.03) | 35.04% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.79% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.38% ( 0.18) | 41.62% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.98% ( 0.18) | 64.02% ( -0.18) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0.01) | 20.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.93% ( -0.01) | 53.06% ( 0.01) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( 0.2) | 23.48% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( 0.28) | 57.49% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.86% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.04% |
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