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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
2 - 1
Loughgall

Stewart (17', 20')
Macuilaitis (59'), Macuilaitis (62'), Forsythe (66'), McGuckin (90+2')
Gordon (43')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Strain (33')
Allen (14'), Kelly (89'), Hoey (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-3 Carrick
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Loughgall
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLoughgall
43.14% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 24.52% (0.0040000000000013 0) 32.33% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66% (-0.012 -0.01)44.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.71% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)20.66% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)53.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 43.14%
    Loughgall 32.33%
    Draw 24.51%
Carrick RangersDrawLoughgall
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 43.14%
1-1 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 32.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-3 Carrick
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Ballymena
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 3-2 Carrick
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-3 Linfield
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Carrick
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Loughgall
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 3-1 Glenavon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 2-3 Ballymena
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-2 Loughgall
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 2-3 Cliftonville
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 0-3 Loughgall
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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