Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Como had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
