Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Como had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Como |
37.23% ( 0.01) | 25.88% ( 0.03) | 36.89% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.36% ( -0.13) | 49.64% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.34% ( -0.11) | 71.66% ( 0.12) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.02% ( -0.06) | 25.97% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.01% ( -0.08) | 60.99% ( 0.08) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.83% ( -0.08) | 26.17% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.75% ( -0.1) | 61.25% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Como |
1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.23% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.89% |
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