SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
45.3% ( 1.1) | 22.21% ( 0.04) | 32.48% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 67.03% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.88% ( -0.63) | 33.12% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.14% ( -0.73) | 54.86% ( 0.73) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( 0.15) | 15.29% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56% ( 0.29) | 44% ( -0.28) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( -0.89) | 20.87% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% ( -1.41) | 53.57% ( 1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.8% Total : 32.48% |
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