Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 86.13%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Toulon had a probability of 4.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 4-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Toulon win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Marseille in this match.