SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Atalanta BC |
35.96% ( -0.07) | 25.29% ( -0.01) | 38.75% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( 0.05) | 47.04% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( 0.05) | 69.28% ( -0.05) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( -0.02) | 25.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.68% ( -0.02) | 60.32% ( 0.02) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( 0.07) | 23.96% ( -0.07) |
