Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
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