Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martigues win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Martigues win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Martigues in this match.
1.27) 
-1.37) 
