Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Martigues |
56.17% ( -0.04) | 25.45% ( 0) | 18.38% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 42.33% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.1% ( 0.03) | 58.89% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.61% ( 0.02) | 79.38% ( -0.03) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( -0) | 21.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.16% ( -0) | 53.83% |
Martigues Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.61% ( 0.06) | 46.39% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.98% ( 0.05) | 82.02% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Martigues |
1-0 @ 15.21% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 56.16% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 18.38% |
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