Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dijon would win this match.
0.36) 
-0.05) 
