SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Nimes |
61.22% ( -0.03) | 22.68% ( 0.01) | 16.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.63% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.85% ( -0.03) | 52.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.13% ( -0.03) | 73.86% ( 0.03) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.39% ( -0.02) | 16.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.04) | 46.42% ( 0.04) |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0) | 45.27% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.85% ( 0) | 81.15% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Nimes |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 61.21% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.66% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.1% |
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