Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martigues win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Pau had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Martigues win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%).