Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Pau had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
0.4) 
-0.04) 
