Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Villefranche had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Villefranche win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
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