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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
ML

Strasbourg
2 - 1
Metz

Emegha (89'), Santos (90+1')
Santos (90+3'), Bellaarouch (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mikautadze (54')
Sane (11'), Cande (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-3 Rennes
Saturday, May 4 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawMetz
42.91% (0.149 0.15) 25.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 31.49% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 54.44% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)49.4% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56% (-0.137 -0.14)71.44% (0.142 0.14)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.007000000000005 0.01)22.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)56.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)29.38% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (-0.233 -0.23)65.36% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 42.91%
    Metz 31.49%
    Draw 25.59%
StrasbourgDrawMetz
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.49%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Nice
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Reims
Saturday, April 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, March 31 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-3 Rennes
Saturday, May 4 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lille
Sunday, April 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Metz
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-1 Lens
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 4-3 Metz
Sunday, April 7 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-5 Monaco
Saturday, March 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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