SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-3 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Metz win it was 2-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
12.8% ( -0.18) | 16.57% ( 0) | 70.63% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.33% ( -0.5) | 31.67% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.82% ( -0.58) | 53.18% ( 0.58) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.01% ( -0.61) | 36.99% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.22% ( -0.61) | 73.78% ( 0.61) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.02% ( -0.09) | 7.98% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.84% ( -0.22) | 28.16% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.94% Total : 12.8% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.57% | 0-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.95% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 5.03% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.06)2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 1.07% ( 0)1-6 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.6% Total : 70.63% |
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