Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Venezia in this match.
