SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 55.25%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
55.25% ( -1.01) | 20.19% ( 0.18) | 24.55% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 68.25% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.05% ( 0.07) | 28.94% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.09) | 49.91% ( -0.09) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.23% ( -0.23) | 10.76% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.24% ( -0.53) | 34.75% ( 0.53) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( 0.63) | 23.51% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% ( 0.9) | 57.55% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.25% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.54% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.55% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
