Forest made a strong start to their pre-season last weekend and will now be eyeing another victory this weekend. Sunderland have brought a strong squad to Spain, though, and we are expecting the spoils to be shared in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.14) 
-0.19) 
