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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
S

Watford
1 - 0
Sunderland

Andrews (64')
Kayembe (10'), Lewis (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Nien (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Sunderland

Wins have been in short supply for both teams of late and we certainly do not expect many goals in this contest. Both teams may feel content not to suffer defeat, leading us to predict a dull stalemate at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSunderland
39.87% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 26.22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 33.91% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)51.38% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.041 0.04)73.19% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (0.044999999999987 0.04)28.78% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (0.055 0.05)64.63% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 39.87%
    Sunderland 33.91%
    Draw 26.21%
WatfordDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Watford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 0-0 Watford
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Preston
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Leeds
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-1 Sunderland
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 Bristol City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-5 Blackburn
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sunderland
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship


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