SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
37.37% ( -1.19) | 23.89% ( 0.47) | 38.74% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 61.89% ( -1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.68% ( -2.33) | 40.32% ( 2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.31% ( -2.45) | 62.69% ( 2.45) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( -1.6) | 21.66% ( 1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.2% ( -2.51) | 54.8% ( 2.52) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( -0.67) | 20.99% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.24% ( -1.06) | 53.76% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.37% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.6)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 38.74% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
