Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Poblense had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Poblense win it was 1-0 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
-0.45) 
0.78) 
