Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
