Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
0) 
-0.13) 
