Eight of the last 12 La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, and we are expecting the points to be shared once again on Tuesday night. Mallorca have only won once on the road this season, but they have drawn seven times, and we are predicting another stalemate here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.08) 
-0.11) 
