SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Preston North End |
35.72% ( 0.08) | 26.6% ( -0.03) | 37.69% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% ( 0.14) | 52.74% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% ( 0.12) | 74.37% ( -0.11) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( 0.12) | 28.33% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% ( 0.14) | 64.06% ( -0.14) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.04) | 27.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( 0.05) | 62.57% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.72% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.68% |
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