SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Fiorentina |
24% ( -4.09) | 25.52% ( 0.13) | 50.49% ( 3.97) |
| Both teams to score 49.29% ( -3.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.45% ( -3.4) | 53.55% ( 3.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% ( -2.95) | 75.06% ( 2.95) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( -5.24) | 37.42% ( 5.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.8% ( -5.54) | 74.2% ( 5.54) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.33) | 21.23% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( 0.51) | 54.13% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.9)2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.62)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.64)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.47)3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.43)Other @ 1.68% Total : 24% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 1.01)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.64)Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 12.31% ( 1.67) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 1.37)1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.75)1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.31)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.4% Total : 50.48% |
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