Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
-4.09) 
0.13) 
