Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.02) 
