J1 League | Gameweek 24
Jul 21, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
18.05% ( -1.25) | 22.29% ( -0.01) | 59.66% ( 1.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.59% ( -2.2) |
| 52.47% ( -1.81) | 47.53% ( 1.81) |
| 30.26% ( -1.69) | 69.74% ( 1.7) |
| 59.9% ( -2.46) | 40.1% ( 2.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.26% ( -2.32) | 76.74% ( 2.33) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| 84.46% ( -0.19) | 15.54% ( 0.2) |
