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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
0 - 1
Hiroshima


Hosoya (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vieira (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Reysol
Sunday, June 16 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 3-2 Hiroshima
Wednesday, June 19 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Considering that Reysol have struggled for form recently and have lost their last three league fixtures, it is fair to say they could struggle on Saturday. Although opponents Hiroshima did lose last time out, they have still scored 15 goals in their last five league games and could prove to be too strong for their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
30.04% (3.764 3.76) 26.51% (0.26 0.26) 43.46% (-4.019 -4.02)
Both teams to score 50.89% (1.653 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (0.97 0.97)53.68% (-0.966 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (0.81 0.81)75.17% (-0.806 -0.81)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (3.462 3.46)32.57% (-3.457 -3.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (3.704 3.7)69.11% (-3.7 -3.7)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (-1.498 -1.5)24.52% (1.502 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (-2.154 -2.15)58.99% (2.16 2.16)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 30.04%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.45%
    Draw 26.5%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.493 0.49)
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.716 0.72)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.703 0.7)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.481 0.48)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.409 0.41)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.27 0.27)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.04%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.99% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.302 0.3)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 11.22% (-0.96 -0.96)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.282 -0.28)
0-2 @ 7.89% (-1.057 -1.06)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.324 -0.32)
0-3 @ 3.7% (-0.683 -0.68)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.309 -0.31)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Reysol
Sunday, June 16 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, June 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-0 Reysol
Wednesday, May 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, May 25 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 2-1 Consadole
Sunday, May 19 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 2-1 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 3-2 Hiroshima
Wednesday, June 19 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 4-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, June 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, May 26 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-5 Hiroshima
Sunday, May 19 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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