Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Spartak Trnava | Draw | Aston Villa |
36.39% (![]() | 25.32% (![]() | 38.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.85% (![]() | 47.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.62% (![]() | 69.38% (![]() |
Spartak Trnava Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% (![]() | 25.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.95% (![]() | 60.05% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.75% (![]() | 24.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.39% (![]() | 58.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Spartak Trnava | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 8.43% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.39% | 1-1 @ 11.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.69% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.29% |
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