SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aston Villa |
61.41% ( 0.26) | 20.46% ( -0.07) | 18.12% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.89% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.74% ( 0.03) | 39.26% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.41% ( 0.03) | 61.59% ( -0.03) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.67% ( 0.08) | 12.33% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.87% ( 0.17) | 38.13% ( -0.17) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.89% ( -0.18) | 35.11% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.14% ( -0.18) | 71.86% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 61.41% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 18.12% |
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