SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
46.41% ( 1.13) | 22.75% ( -0.23) | 30.83% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 64.1% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.41% ( 0.68) | 36.59% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.25% ( 0.74) | 58.74% ( -0.74) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% ( 0.69) | 16.22% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.27% ( 1.24) | 45.72% ( -1.24) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.19) | 23.48% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.49% ( -0.29) | 57.5% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.83% |
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