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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
AV

Brighton
vs.
Aston Villa

 
Coverage of the Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 0-4 Man City
Thursday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Bournemouth vs. Brighton
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Aston Villa vs. Olympiacos
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 31.03% and a draw has a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.83%).

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
46.42% (-0.216 -0.22) 22.55% (0.11 0.11) 31.03% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 64.99% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.52% (-0.505 -0.5)35.47% (0.497 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.48% (-0.56 -0.56)57.51% (0.55399999999999 0.55)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (-0.273 -0.27)15.78% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.07% (-0.498 -0.5)44.92% (0.493 0.49)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (-0.191 -0.19)22.82% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)56.53% (0.275 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.42%
    Aston Villa 31.03%
    Draw 22.55%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.93% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.03%

Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton 0-4 Man City
Thursday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Brighton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Brighton
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Roma
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, April 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Lille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Brentford
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League


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